Friday, May 9, 2014

False Narratives


These are the headlines we're seeing.  Problem is, it's not particularly true:
Compared with 1993, the peak of U.S. gun homicide s , the firearm homicide rate was 49% lower in 2010, and there were fewer deaths, even though the nation’s population grew. The victimization rate for other violent crimes with a firearm — assaults, robberies and sex crimes — was 75 % lower in 2011 than in 1993. Violent non - fatal crime victimization overall (with or without a firearm) also is down markedly ( 72 %) over two decades .
So due to whatever reasons, crime is down by half of its peak in '93.  Unfortunately crime dropping doesn't sell as many papers as blaring headlines of multiple deaths and carnage.  It leaves an impression:
Despite national attention to the issue of fire arm violence , most Americans are unaware that gun crime is lower today than it was two decades ago. According to a new Pew Research Center survey, today 56% of Americans believe gun crime is higher than 20 years ago and only 12% think it is lower.
So only about 1 in 8 people pay attention to what is actually happening in lieu of the propaganda put out by ideologues with an agenda to push.

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1 comment:

Matthew said...

This recent Univ. of Alaska Anchorage Justice Center study makes your point clear.

Note that from '85 to '94 there was effectively no OC or CC in municipalities due to state law and lack of preemption. In '94 we got "shall-issue" (similar to Illinois new law at first in fact) and improved it over time until '04 when we got permitless "Alaska Carry."

Note the steady decrease in violent crimes involving firearms over each of the three 10-year periods covered.