Sunday, October 4, 2009

Selective Correlations

According to Congressman Mike Quigley (D-IL5), the ban on handguns and semi-auto's in Chicago is not enough. He correlates the expiration of the AWB w/ a rise in youth homicides. Of course he doesn't show that these youth were actually murdered w/ "Assault Weapons", only a spurious correlation. He also throws out plenty of stats on how many CPS students were shot and killed the last two years in the same city that bans most firearms and registers the rest (unless you're an Alderman named Mell that is).

Let's look at some correlations that he ignores and are more directly associated:

Chicago Public HS drop out rate: 50%

% of murders directly gang related: 50%

% murders w/ prior criminal history: 91.4%

% victims w/ prior criminal history: 72.5%

5x the murder rate of the rest of the state where firearms are common.

Murder Capitol of the US numerous times since the Handgun Ban passed.

Chicago homicide only started dropping when the national rate did in 1993.

% Murders by types of weapons used, 2008:

Nationally: 66.9 , Chicago: 80.8

Hmmm. Perhaps it has something to do with other things besides firearm ownership?

My usual statement for Chicago:

"Sure, I'll support more gun laws for you, as soon as you have your constituents write the names of every family member and neighbor that belongs to a gang and has a gun hidden on a sheet of paper. Let me know when you're done and we'll hold a joint press conference to name names and start to really bring the cycle of violence to an end."

2 comments:

Bud Harton said...

Handguns in Chicago were banned in 1982. According tothe FBI's Uniform Crome Reports, that's when the homicide rate in Chicxago started to rise. It just gives more credibility to the fact that when gun laws are passed, the only citizens without guns are those who obey the law.

It's time to change the politicians in Chicago that refuse to acknowledge that the Constitution was written to protect all of us from the excesses of government.

It doersn't matter which party they are from, all the politicians need to leave office.

Bud

Anonymous said...

Lets make it easy for the congressman and just outlaw gang activity in Chicago? Or Crime N' that kind of stuff......