Friday, September 14, 2007

Swiss crime numbers: The Saga Continues...

As reported earlier, there was a discrepancy between the UN and INTERPOL/CDOJ Swiss crime numbers. Discussions w/ Gary Mauser have yielded no clear answer as of yet:

I've now looked at the stats in the UN 9th report for both
Switzerland and Finland, and it's not obvious to me whether these
stats are for homicide or if they include attempted homicide as well.
The table says both, which is confusing.

This differs from the UN's 7th report which explicitly stated that
the homicide stats did not include attempted homicides.

If the 'homicide' stats in the 9th report do include both, as Un and
Interpol statistics often do, then clearly that would explain why
these rates per 100,000 are higher than the ones that Mr Kates and I
found in the Canadian Dept of Justice publication.

Typically, Interpol reports both a 'homicide' rate [including
attempted homicides] as well as a percentage of of these 'homicides'
that are unsuccessful and which would be better classified as
'attempted homicides'.

The Canadian Justice Department may well have adjusted the Interpol
statistics in this fashion to eliminate attempted homicides.

Thus, at this point, I cannot say that the UN statistics are
superiour to ours.

Cheers,

Gary Mauser

He sent me the 2002 INTERPOL report on Switzerland for comparison. It does indeed list 213 murders w/ the next column listed as "attempted" and a percentile of 59.6%. The UN 2002 report ,however, lists 213 murders "completed" w/ an additional 127 "attempted"(59.6%).

So did INTERPOL list the "attempted" as a percentile of the 213 as a whole or did they mean it in addition to the murders and just presented it as a percentile? Did they UN read it as "in addition to" to inflate the numbers of a pro-gun country or did the INTERPOL report just phrase it poorly?

My response? I've contacted the Swiss Office of Justice (Communications and Information) requesting clarification. We'll see if they respond.

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